Chargement
Beyond the headline number: core, PCE, sticky, and the bond market's expectations.
Persistent inflation — core stagnating or resisting, hard descent.
Click an indicator to understand what it measures.
Trend computed over the last 3 months of YoY. All numbers are official BLS/BEA releases via FRED. No trajectory predictions — only a reading of the present.
Annual change in the US consumer price index. Grey zones = NBER recessions.
Inflation excluding food and energy: what the Fed watches to calibrate rates.
Average 10-year inflation expectation derived from TIPS. The bond market's reading.