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NVDA — NVIDIA Corporation — Polaris

Markets/NVDA

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

NASDAQ · USD

$208.65-0.97%Delayed · Pro = live

Polaris Score

High-quality profile

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES · vs 6 sector peers

Balance-sheet strengthStrong balance sheet · 91/100

Methodology : Grades by PROGRESSIVE deviation from the median of 6 sector peers (median = C+), with absolute floors (growth ≥ 15%, ROIC ≥ 20% = excellent). Same method for everyone, published and reproducible.

This describes the security's characteristics versus its sector — it is not a buy or sell recommendation. Polaris is not a registered adviser.

Value estimate

51.8% below the base estimate

432.64 USD

208.65 USD

383.64 USDEstimate — Graham intrinsic value (EPS × (8.5 + 2 × 5y growth))481.64 USD

Margin of safety+51.8%

Estimate with uncertainty — not a price target nor a recommendation. Past and projections guarantee nothing.

Revenue vs earnings

Last 4 reported quarters

RevenueNet earnings

Q181.6 G$

Analyst view

Buy

68 analystsTrend · stable

Strong Buy 24Buy 39Hold 4Sell 1

12-mo target

316.79 USD

Upside

+51.8 %

Range

218–500

Est. EPS · FY20264.69 USD

Third-party analyst data (consensus), reported for information — this is not a Polaris recommendation.

Rising star

Emerging-growth profile (conviction + risk), by transparent criteria. Élite VIP-exclusive.

Polaris consensus

Analyst target (Wall Street consensus). Historically, analyst targets follow prices more than they predict them — useful as a benchmark, not an oracle.

Sources (transparent weights)

Score système (fondamentaux + technique)+1.1×40%

Score 69.2/100, recommandation système : achat.

État technique (chandelles + stress)+0.3×27%

État tendu, score composite 0.16.

Consensus analystes (Wall Street)+1.0×33%

Consensus buy sur 68 analystes, upside vs target moyen 51.8 % — tendance stable sur 3 mois.

Synthetic read combining 3 weighted sources. No investment recommendation — it's an aggregated reading, you decide.

Analyst insights — EPS

Upcoming estimates

Q3 2026

2.08 $25 analysts

Q4 2026

2.35 $25 analysts

Q1 2027

2.66 $12 analysts

Q2 2027

2.86 $12 analysts

Past surprises (actual vs estimate)

Period	Est.	Actual	Surprise
Q2 2026	1.79 $	1.87 $	—
Q1 2026	1.56 $	1.62 $	—

Polaris analysis

The thesis, in a few lines.

An integrated reading — technical, fundamental, macro, news feed and latest earnings — by a Polaris engine.

Reading the chart

Technical state

Components (transparent weighted sum)

Position vs MA200+1.0 ×20%

Au-dessus de MA200 (+9.8 %), régime sain.

Position vs MA500.0 ×15%

Autour de MA50 (-0.6 %).

Drawdown depuis high 1 an0.0 ×20%

Drawdown -11.5 % : correction normale.

Vélocité (5j et 20j)0.0 ×15%

Variations contenues (1.7 % sur 5j).

RSI 14+1.0 ×10%

RSI 49 : zone neutre.

Volume vs moyenne 20j+0.5 ×5%

Volume dans la normale (0.7×).

Patterns chandelles (7j)0.0 ×15%

Aucun pattern notable détecté sur les 7 derniers jours.

Diagnostic reading, not predictive. Candlestick patterns have a modest and inconsistent statistical edge — used here as triggers for thesis reflection, not as buy/sell signals.

Your notes on this stock

Deep analysis

Click an indicator to understand what it means for this stock.

Macro reading for this stock

view →

Heuristic reading: NVDA belongs to the "SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES" sector. Click each card to understand the current reading, or "view →" for the full macro dashboard.

Detailed signals

Strengths (5)

↑Exceptional ROE
↑Strong revenue growth
↑Earnings accelerating
↑High margins
↑Uptrend (MA50 > MA200)

Concerns (1)

↓Expensive valuation

Technical indicators

Reading the chart.

Click an indicator to understand what it means.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/Eⓘ

42.58

Forward P/Eⓘ

44.45

P/Bⓘ

32.44

P/Sⓘ

23.63

PEG (5y)ⓘ

1.19

Profitability

ROEⓘ

76.3%

ROIC

63.0%

ROAⓘ

58.1%

Gross margin

Net margin

Growth

Revenue growth

EPS growth

Financial health

Debt/Equity

Free cash flow

✦ 8 ratios in the free version. Upgrade to Trader to unlock all fundamentals →

Momentum

ROC 14jⓘ

-7.00%

Williams %Rⓘ

-71.7

SMIⓘ

-46.7

Sector

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

Recent news1 article

The news feed.

GlobeNewswire Inc.· 2h ago↑ Positive

Zapata Quantum Teams with NVIDIA to Apply Agentic AI to Accelerate Quantum Algorithm Development

Zapata Quantum and NVIDIA are collaborating to develop an agentic AI system that automates quantum resource estimation workflows, addressing a major bottleneck in quantum application development. The initiative targets quantum chemistry applications including drug discovery and advanced materials, and has already demonstrated potential in homogeneous catalysis. The approach combines AI orchestration with quantum workflows and feasibility prediction models.

Leadership

Jen-Hsun Huang

CEO · NVIDIA Corporation

Reading the chart

Technical indicators

Reading the chart.

Click an indicator to understand what it means.

Fundamentals

Valuation

P/Eⓘ

42.58

Forward P/Eⓘ

44.45

P/Bⓘ

32.44

P/Sⓘ

23.63

PEG (5y)ⓘ

1.19

Profitability

ROEⓘ

76.3%

ROIC

63.0%

ROAⓘ

58.1%

Gross margin

Net margin

Growth

Revenue growth

EPS growth

Financial health

Debt/Equity

Free cash flow

✦ 8 ratios in the free version. Upgrade to Trader to unlock all fundamentals →

Momentum

ROC 14jⓘ

-7.00%

Williams %Rⓘ

-71.7

SMIⓘ

-46.7

Sector

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

Deep analysis

Click an indicator to understand what it means for this stock.

Recent news1 article

The news feed.

GlobeNewswire Inc.· 2h ago↑ Positive

Zapata Quantum Teams with NVIDIA to Apply Agentic AI to Accelerate Quantum Algorithm Development

Leadership

Jen-Hsun Huang

CEO · NVIDIA Corporation

Polaris Score

High-quality profile

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES · vs 6 sector peers

Balance-sheet strengthStrong balance sheet · 91/100

This describes the security's characteristics versus its sector — it is not a buy or sell recommendation. Polaris is not a registered adviser.

Value estimate

51.8% below the base estimate

432.64 USD

208.65 USD

383.64 USDEstimate — Graham intrinsic value (EPS × (8.5 + 2 × 5y growth))481.64 USD

Margin of safety+51.8%

Estimate with uncertainty — not a price target nor a recommendation. Past and projections guarantee nothing.

Revenue vs earnings

Last 4 reported quarters

RevenueNet earnings

Q181.6 G$

Analyst view

Buy

68 analystsTrend · stable

Strong Buy 24Buy 39Hold 4Sell 1

12-mo target

316.79 USD

Upside

+51.8 %

Range

218–500

Est. EPS · FY20264.69 USD

Third-party analyst data (consensus), reported for information — this is not a Polaris recommendation.

Rising star

Emerging-growth profile (conviction + risk), by transparent criteria. Élite VIP-exclusive.

Polaris consensus

Analyst target (Wall Street consensus). Historically, analyst targets follow prices more than they predict them — useful as a benchmark, not an oracle.

Sources (transparent weights)

Score système (fondamentaux + technique)+1.1×40%

Score 69.2/100, recommandation système : achat.

État technique (chandelles + stress)+0.3×27%

État tendu, score composite 0.16.

Consensus analystes (Wall Street)+1.0×33%

Consensus buy sur 68 analystes, upside vs target moyen 51.8 % — tendance stable sur 3 mois.

Synthetic read combining 3 weighted sources. No investment recommendation — it's an aggregated reading, you decide.

Analyst insights — EPS

Upcoming estimates

Q3 2026

2.08 $25 analysts

Q4 2026

2.35 $25 analysts

Q1 2027

2.66 $12 analysts

Q2 2027

2.86 $12 analysts

Past surprises (actual vs estimate)

Period	Est.	Actual	Surprise
Q2 2026	1.79 $	1.87 $	—
Q1 2026	1.56 $	1.62 $	—
Q4 2025	1.27 $	1.30 $	—
Q3 2025	1.03 $	1.05 $	—

Third-party analyst estimates, for information — not a Polaris recommendation.

Analyst revisions

Recent analyst upgrades/downgrades — Trader only.

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AI earnings read

A clear AI read of the earnings profile (surprises, trend) — Elite only.

Unlock with Elite →

The Voices Debate Elite

Cathie Wood, Michael Burry and 4 other legends argue for and against NVDA, then a moderator weighs in. The debate you won't find anywhere else.

Discussion · community

An educational space for members to exchange views. This is not investment advice — everyone is responsible for their own decisions. Be respectful; abuse is moderated.

Polaris analysis

The thesis, in a few lines.

An integrated reading — technical, fundamental, macro, news feed and latest earnings — by a Polaris engine.

Technical state

Components (transparent weighted sum)

Position vs MA200+1.0 ×20%

Au-dessus de MA200 (+9.8 %), régime sain.

Position vs MA500.0 ×15%

Autour de MA50 (-0.6 %).

Drawdown depuis high 1 an0.0 ×20%

Drawdown -11.5 % : correction normale.

Vélocité (5j et 20j)0.0 ×15%

Variations contenues (1.7 % sur 5j).

RSI 14+1.0 ×10%

RSI 49 : zone neutre.

Volume vs moyenne 20j+0.5 ×5%

Volume dans la normale (0.7×).

Patterns chandelles (7j)0.0 ×15%

Aucun pattern notable détecté sur les 7 derniers jours.

Diagnostic reading, not predictive. Candlestick patterns have a modest and inconsistent statistical edge — used here as triggers for thesis reflection, not as buy/sell signals.

Your notes on this stock

Macro reading for this stock

view →

Heuristic reading: NVDA belongs to the "SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES" sector. Click each card to understand the current reading, or "view →" for the full macro dashboard.

Detailed signals

Strengths (5)

↑Exceptional ROE
↑Strong revenue growth
↑Earnings accelerating
↑High margins
↑Uptrend (MA50 > MA200)

Concerns (1)

↓Expensive valuation